Overconfidence Quotes

Doubt is not the enemy of justice; overconfidence is.

That's one of the real dangers of leader selection in many organizations: leaders are selected for overconfidence.

Courage is willingness to take the risk once you know the odds. Optimistic overconfidence means you are taking the risk because you don't know the odds. It's a big difference.

There's a lot of overconfidence about this bill. We're going to expose it. It will not pass.

The illusion that we understand the past fosters overconfidence in our ability to predict the future.

Doubt is often better than overconfidence, for it leads to inquiry, and inquiry leads to invention.

Every woman knows what I'm talking about. It’s the presumption that makes it hard, at times, for any woman in any field; that keeps women from speaking up and from being heard when they dare; that crushes young women into silence by indicating, the way harassment on the street does, that this is not their world. It trains us in self-doubt and self-limitation just as it exercises men’s unsupported overconfidence.

People exaggerate their confidence in their plans - something we call the planning fallacy... The existence of the plan tends to induce overconfidence.

In strategic decisions, I'd be really concerned about overconfidence.

To a winner, complacency and overconfidence can be destructive. To losers, desperation and despondency are just as harmful.

Overconfidence is a powerful source of illusions, primarily determined by the quality and coherence of the story that you can construct, not by its validity.

I'm very confident in what I do, but I'd like to think I don't ever show any kind of cockiness or overconfidence.

I don't think there is a thing like overconfidence in chess. It's always better to be too confident than too reluctant.

... overconfidence in one's own ability is the root of much evil. Vanity, egoism, is the deadliest of all characteristics. This vanity, combined with extreme ignorance of conditions the knowledge of which is the very A B C of business and of life, produces more shipwrecks and heartaches than any other part of our mental make-up.

Incompetence is certainty in the absence of expertise. Overconfidence is certainty in the presence of expertise.

A certain death of an artist is overconfidence.

Overconfidence comes from fear and doubt, and you boast an ego when you're feeling less than.

Self esteem is not the same as being self centered, self absorbed or selfish. Self esteem is also not complacency or overconfidence, both of which and set us up for failure. Self esteem is a strong motivator to work hard. Self esteem is related to mental health and happiness.

Except for some effects that I attribute mostly to age, my intuitive thinking is just as prone to overconfidence, extreme predictions, and the planning fallacy as it was before I made a study of these issues.

Sometimes its difficult to accept, to recognise ones own mistakes, but one must do it. I was guilty of overconfidence and arrogance, and I was punished for that.

The hedge fund known as "Long Term Capital Management" collapsed last fall through overconfidence in its highly leveraged methods, despite I.Q.'s of its principals that must have averaged 160. Smart people aren't exempt from professional disasters from overconfidence. Often, they just run aground in the more difficult voyages they choose, relying on their self-appraisals that they have superior talents and methods.

Incompetence annoys me. Overconfidence terrifies me.

In their leaders, advisers, and experts, people much prefer overconfidence, total certainty, to any kind of doubt.